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Spring
Books New
book says we stand on a threshold
By MICHAEL J. FARRELL
Were six billion and counting.
Clinging to a used planet, we have survived another thousand years of life with
each other. Yet were unsure of ourselves and asking new questions as well
as the old ones.
The search for meaning is the non-traditional way to raise
religious questions in our time.
Not that the traditional way was ever exactly that. Humans have
searched for the big answers from entrails of chickens to the four gospels.
Despite all our progress the answers remain elusive and life problematic. Are
we going anywhere or just wandering aimlessly like ants?
Just a minute, interjects author Robert Wright. Whatever about us,
the ants are not aimless. This gets Wright started on a whole line of thinking,
nothing less than an argument for human destiny. Some will say this
territory has been trod by searchers and teachers since time began. Sure,
Wright counters, but we are still living in chaotic times right here in River
City. Technological, geopolitical and economic change seem ominously
fast, we writes, and the fabric of society seems somehow
tenuous.
There may, however, be good news in the forecast. Our particular
chaos has about it the aura of a threshold. He is referring to the
quantum leap that occasionally happens when all or part of creation lurches to
a new level, such as when we first walked upright or first learned a foreign
language. I just mean that growing turmoil does signify, by my lights, a
distinct step in the unfolding of what you could call the worlds
destiny, Wright intones. We are indeed approaching a culmination of
sorts; our species seems to face a kind of test toward which basic forces of
history have been moving us for millennia. It is a test of political
imagination of our ability to accept basic, necessary changes in
structures of governance but also a test of moral imagination.
So Wright has written a big book with the ungainly title of
Nonzero: The Logic of Human Destiny (Pantheon, 480 pages, $27.50).
Its not ungainly for nothing. He planned to call the book
Non-zero-sumness until everyone said how ugly that was. The
terminology derives from a process called game theory, which has been with us
for half a century. Usually without knowing it, writes Wright, we have been
playing a game called non-zero-sum, which explains past human progress and
could be the key to future leaps.
Rules of game theory
In zero-sum games, the fortunes of participants are inversely
related. For you to win, I must lose, and vice versa. It is operative in
tennis, boxing and much of life. In non-zero-sum games, by contrast, your gain
need not be my loss. In highly NZS situations our interests could entirely
overlap. In real life, though, the options are usually only partially NZS. The
challenge and a fundamental theme of the book is to work toward
more win-win outcomes (though win-win and such do not fully match his meaning,
which is why he stuck with the ungainly nomenclature for which there are no
good synonyms).
At one level the book is a survey of human history and organic
evolution to show how we developed thus far with the indispensable help of game
theory. This survey would be a guide to the future, which is at a fork in the
road: toward a new, higher equilibrium, or toward blowing ourselves all to
hell.
We are, for context, presented with various long-range snapshots
of ourselves. One school of thought, led by Lewis Henry Morgan, saw us starting
as savages, progressing until we were barbarians,
before becoming civilized. This was no mere ivory tower debate.
Marx, Engels and many other real-life players were involved in the fray.
Another school, led by anthropologist Franz Boas, disagreed, not with the
name-calling but with the steady upward progress this outline implied. Wrote
Boas disciple Margaret Mead: We have stood out against any grading of
cultures in hierarchical systems which would place our own culture at the top.
We have stood out for a sort of democracy of cultures.
This egalitarian view didnt survive very well. Its
hard to deny an upward move toward complexity, and some cultures, especially in
the West, traditionally had more of it than others.
One characteristic of this upward progress, which most people may
say they knew all along, is that it goes hand-in-glove with ever more
non-zero-sumness. There is, in other words, more and more of something in it
for nearly everyone.
In practice, too
This sounds dry in the abstract, but Wright makes constant forays
back to ancient history to show how the theory worked and thus how we became
who we are. He visits, for example, the Shoshone, who once inhabited what is
now Nevada. Their largest unit of social organization was the family. The male
head of the family was the entire political organization and its whole
legal system. By contrast the !Kung San, renowned hunter-gatherers of
Africas Kalahari desert, had a more cohesive social structure. One
reason, experts say, is because they hunted giraffes. In those pre-refrigerator
days, one family could not eat a giraffe; neither, in their circumstances,
would they want to waste meat; nor would they, being typical humans, waste a
chance to collect the IOU that came from sharing the meat. Such IOUs, the
author writes, were money in the bank in early society. As an expert on Eskimos
said, the best place for [an Eskimo] to store his surplus is in someone
elses stomach.
The non-zero-sum factor, Wright keeps saying, is located out near
the edge of our self-understanding. Calculation, therefore, is too
self-conscious an attitude for what, most of the time, we do for each other in
the context of NZS interaction. The author elaborates: Evolutionary
psychologists have made a strong in my view compelling case that
this unconscious savviness is a part of human nature, rooted ultimately in the
genes; that natural selection, via the evolution of reciprocal
altruism, has built into us various impulses which, however warm and
mushy they may feel, are designed for the cool, practical purpose of bringing
beneficial exchange.
These built-in impulses include generosity; gratitude, with
concomitant sense of obligation; empathy for and trust in reliable
reciprocators, also known as friends. These elements are found in all cultures.
This seems to imply that the natural selection, which brought us to where we
are, instinctively recognized non-zero-sum logic before we consciously
acknowledged it.
Time and again Wright points out that the size of the canvas
forces him to paint with broad strokes. He pauses occasionally to show that his
generalizations have exceptions. My generalizations of his generalizations
leave the picture starker still. Yet the starkness of the contrast between
primitive and contemporary constantly unearth unexpected insights. For example,
a Big Man (a technical term for the main local guy just before the culture got
cohesive enough to have chiefdoms) in New Guinea, upon bestowing heaps of food
and wealth on another Big Man, was heard to say, I have won. I have
knocked you down by giving so much.
Not everyone will read our subsequent journey as moral progress,
but Wright settles for the contention that it is at least progress toward
complexity.
In one human arena after another, game theory is applied to show
the arrow, however wobbly, pointing upward toward what we humans have usually
accepted as progress. Its ambiguous progress at times, as we all know
from experience. Our blessings are invariably mixed. War provides a cogent
example. Despite the savagery, an array of benefits accrues to nearly every
war. That, actually, is a good rough-and-ready index of non-zero-sumness:
the extent to which fates are shared. War, by creating more shared fates, by
manufacturing non-zero-sumness, accelerates the evolution of culture toward
deeper and vaster social complexity.
If there seems to be less here than meets the eye, merely a
finding of the silver lining that goes with every cloud, it remains true that
lifes poor progress derives in large part from our amazing slowness to
see the obvious. So we lurched according to circumstances. But thats the
devil of it: even zero-sum situations can give rise to the next step forward. A
football teams traumatic loss in the playoffs can draw members together
and propel them to next years Super Bowl. Wright takes us zigging and
zagging across the centuries in what everyone except perhaps the Kansas School
Board would call some kind of evolution.
Were falling short
Whatever upward journey were on, it is clear we are not yet,
despite all we have and have done, at our destination. The author refers to
cultural lag, which happens when material culture changes so fast
that non-material culture has trouble catching up too many innovations
without time or wisdom to absorb them.
He quotes sociologist William Ogburns solution to this
imbalance: Speed up moral progress to catch up with material progress. If this
sounds too facile, so does Wrights own remedy: cut the rate at
which material technology is transforming the world; make the inevitable unfold
at a more sedate pace. But to whom do you make the first phone call on a
Monday morning once youve decided to slow down the world?
While he has no plan for global slowdown, the author has some
idealistic non-zero-sum suggestions: that First World workers and Third World
workers unite and adjust for a more fair all-round wage; that industrialists do
whats necessary to save scarce fuels; and other non-zero-sum
strategies.
This and other suggestions land like a load of bricks on our own
dear capitalist ethos, which Wright seems to take for granted. Capitalism, as
all its legendary gurus have repeatedly maintained, aims at a maximization of
profits. No matter what language they couch it in, capitalism is by definition
a zero-sum (that is, lest we forget, win-lose) game. It is astonishing how
little capitalism has done, despite all its think tanks and paid apologists, to
finesse itself, or reform itself, as a system, as a philosophy, so that it
could be a non-zero-sum enterprise from top to bottom. (Sure, there are humane
and generous capitalists who deal with the world on a NZS basis, but to that
extent they are untrue to capitalism.)
Wright is more comfortable with more impersonal systems such as
the second law of thermodynamics, about which I know nothing, the one, he says,
that sounds so depressing: entropy disorder grows
inexorably; structure decays. This is a high hurdle life must leap over
before taking us anywhere else. Energy is the key: It is this captured
energy that life uses to build and replenish its structure, to arrange matter
into distinctly ordered form and keep it there, notwithstanding the universal
tide of entropy.
To energy add information. Not just your dictionary and computer.
Data processing permeates even trivial-seeming organic functions.
Data processing is why grass grows as it does. Even the broad strokes the
author is forced to use demonstrate the immense complexity we have achieved and
the grand miracle in which we participate. He reaches one of his occasional
crescendos as follows:
Viewed against the backdrop of all of life, then, culture
was in one sense nothing new: just another data-processing system invented by
natural selection to marshal energy and matter in ways that preserve DNA. But
it was the first of these systems that began to take on a life of its own,
inaugurating a whole new kind of evolution. Natural selection, after inventing
brainier and brainier forms of DNA, long ago invented brains and then
finally, in our species, invented a particularly impressive brain, a brain that
could sponsor a whole new kind of natural selection.
And one of the tricks of our recent brains is that they, despite
our stumbling, keep urging us upward. This upward mobility would take us
nowhere the argument continues without the driving force of
non-zero-sum logic.
Is onward upward?
Then, if one continues on upward, one eventually runs into the
question of God. Anyone who can take the word of the Bible or ones
religion of choice that Gods in his heaven will be saved a lot of heavy
reading, but will miss some mighty challenging conundrums. Reading this book
its easy to see why fundamentalism is such a comforting buffer against
the risks of confronting the big, disquieting questions of life.
More than once Wright drags in the late Jesuit Fr. Pierre Teilhard
de Chardin, patronizes him a little (As best I can make out, at Point
Omega the human species would constitute a kind of giant organic brotherly-love
blob) but knows Teilhard was onto something. Gods love, no less.
That, however, took a leap of faith not allowed in natural theology, where
Wright chooses to take his stand.
The usual definitions and descriptions of God pose a problem for
the searcher relying on logic. One who is infinitely powerful and infinitely
good needs to help us out, for starters, with the problem of evil. So Wright
asks a more modest question: Are there signs of any divinely
imparted meaning in the evidence immediately before us: the history of life on
earth?
And yes, he offers compelling evidence of an upward thrust toward
order and complexity, with occasional leaps over thresholds, which at close
range might seem gratuitous but for which earth had been preparing us. The
arrow was pointing toward meaning.
The problem of evil still lurks, however, mocking meaning:
Isnt goodness a slightly naïve thing to ask of an architect
whose plans included natural selection? At its core, natural selection is
cutthroat.
The debate is all over the place, like life. We have made great
progress in taming this cutthroat quality. On the other hand, were
killing each other more than ever. We saw that altruism worked as a way of
getting along together, so we spread it beyond the family, until eventually it
was bred in our bones. On yet another hand, altruism is volatile, too he
refers to affections oft-underplayed downside, for example the real-life
Texas mother who plotted the murder of her daughters rival for a
cheerleader role. It remains a jungle out there.
Wright concedes he can point the upward arrow only to a certain
height, a height too low for adherents of most traditional religions:
After all, if peace and tolerance grow only out of a non-zero-sum
calculation only out of rational self-interest then there
is something cool and mechanical about it all. It, however, remains all
too human.
Scholars such as Thomas Berry and Diarmuid OMurchu have been
saying for some time that we are between stories. In the past, relying more on
imagination than scientific knowledge, we wrote ourselves the grandest,
sublimest scenarios our heads and hearts dared yearn for. The rational search
for meaning has not yet set its upward-pointing arrow so high.
There is an immense thrill in the prospect that Wright is right
and we stand on another threshold for another quantum leap. But to what shall
we leap? At a certain level the author does a fine job of explaining us to
ourselves. We nod with recognition. Yet finally he promises nothing. He has no
new story. One can see why religion still appeals to so many, hinting
unrealistically at something more sublime than even non-zero-sum can offer.
Michael Farrell is editor of NCR.
National Catholic Reporter, February 4,
2000
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